Pre-tourney Rankings
Texas St.
Sun Belt
2018-19
Overall
Predictive Rating+2.2#138
Expected Predictive Rating+4.2#113
Pace64.0#305
Improvement-4.2#325

Offense
Total Offense-1.6#221
First Shot-2.3#255
After Offensive Rebound+0.7#122
Layup/Dunks-0.3#188
2 Pt Jumpshots+0.3#149
3 Pt Jumpshots-1.7#234
Freethrows-0.5#225
Improvement-2.5#291

Defense
Total Defense+3.8#79
First Shot+2.5#90
After Offensive Rebounds+1.3#60
Layups/Dunks+2.8#65
2 Pt Jumpshots-0.1#197
3 Pt Jumpshots+1.4#117
Freethrows-1.5#277
Improvement-1.7#261
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
#1 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 2 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 4 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 6 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
NCAA Tourney Bid 0.0% n/a n/a
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% n/a n/a
Average Seed n/a n/a n/a
.500 or above 0.0% n/a n/a
.500 or above in Conference 100.0% 100.0% 100.0%
Conference Champion 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Last Place in Conference 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
First Four0.0% n/a n/a
First Round0.0% n/a n/a
Second Round0.0% n/a n/a
Sweet Sixteen0.0% n/a n/a
Elite Eight0.0% n/a n/a
Final Four0.0% n/a n/a
Championship Game0.0% n/a n/a
National Champion0.0% n/a n/a

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0.0 - 0.00.0 - 0.0
Quad 1b0.0 - 1.00.0 - 1.0
Quad 21.0 - 2.01.0 - 3.0
Quad 36.0 - 5.07.0 - 8.0
Quad 415.0 - 1.022.0 - 9.0


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 09, 2018 232   Air Force W 67-57 80%     1 - 0 +3.2 -3.8 +7.7
  Nov 17, 2018 123   @ Drake L 69-75 35%     1 - 1 +0.1 -4.5 +4.9
  Nov 21, 2018 332   Cal Poly W 54-42 90%     2 - 1 +0.1 -16.3 +18.5
  Nov 23, 2018 335   South Carolina Upstate W 82-50 92%     3 - 1 +18.4 +6.0 +13.4
  Nov 24, 2018 319   @ Portland W 91-68 83%     4 - 1 +15.3 +15.3 -0.2
  Nov 28, 2018 251   Rice W 74-60 83%     5 - 1 +5.9 +0.9 +5.9
  Dec 01, 2018 148   @ Texas San Antonio W 69-68 43%     6 - 1 +5.0 -5.4 +10.4
  Dec 05, 2018 288   @ TX A&M Corpus Christi W 61-55 74%     7 - 1 +1.6 -8.9 +10.7
  Dec 08, 2018 284   Houston Baptist W 90-80 86%     8 - 1 +0.3 +8.0 -7.9
  Dec 15, 2018 168   @ UT Rio Grande Valley W 77-68 50%     9 - 1 +11.2 +4.6 +6.2
  Dec 22, 2018 52   @ Arkansas L 70-73 18%     9 - 2 +9.0 +3.0 +6.0
  Jan 03, 2019 111   Georgia Southern W 73-70 53%     10 - 2 1 - 0 +4.4 -5.7 +9.9
  Jan 05, 2019 116   Georgia St. L 69-73 54%     10 - 3 1 - 1 -2.9 -5.2 +2.4
  Jan 10, 2019 167   @ Coastal Carolina W 65-61 50%     11 - 3 2 - 1 +6.2 -3.6 +10.0
  Jan 12, 2019 201   @ Appalachian St. W 70-69 57%     12 - 3 3 - 1 +1.3 -3.2 +4.5
  Jan 17, 2019 229   Arkansas Little Rock W 80-62 80%     13 - 3 4 - 1 +11.3 +4.5 +6.6
  Jan 19, 2019 248   Arkansas St. W 77-64 83%     14 - 3 5 - 1 +4.9 +0.0 +5.1
  Jan 24, 2019 116   @ Georgia St. W 81-68 33%     15 - 3 6 - 1 +19.7 +17.7 +3.1
  Jan 26, 2019 111   @ Georgia Southern L 58-74 32%     15 - 4 6 - 2 -9.0 -11.8 +2.8
  Feb 02, 2019 150   Texas Arlington L 77-84 2OT 65%     15 - 5 6 - 3 -8.7 -3.7 -4.2
  Feb 07, 2019 201   Appalachian St. W 74-71 76%     16 - 5 7 - 3 -2.3 -3.3 +1.0
  Feb 09, 2019 167   Coastal Carolina W 65-57 70%     17 - 5 8 - 3 +4.6 -6.3 +11.4
  Feb 14, 2019 248   @ Arkansas St. W 84-74 68%     18 - 5 9 - 3 +7.4 +9.9 -2.3
  Feb 16, 2019 229   @ Arkansas Little Rock W 67-60 63%     19 - 5 10 - 3 +5.8 +3.2 +3.5
  Feb 21, 2019 145   Louisiana Monroe L 60-63 63%     19 - 6 10 - 4 -4.2 -9.4 +4.7
  Feb 23, 2019 178   Louisiana W 64-62 72%     20 - 6 11 - 4 -1.7 -7.9 +6.3
  Feb 28, 2019 249   @ Troy W 58-44 68%     21 - 6 12 - 4 +11.4 -9.7 +23.1
  Mar 02, 2019 214   @ South Alabama L 63-77 59%     21 - 7 12 - 5 -14.1 -1.3 -14.9
  Mar 09, 2019 150   @ Texas Arlington L 73-81 44%     21 - 8 12 - 6 -4.2 +7.1 -11.5
  Mar 15, 2019 214   South Alabama W 79-67 69%     22 - 8 +9.2 +4.7 +4.6
  Mar 16, 2019 116   Georgia St. L 46-59 43%     22 - 9 -9.1 -25.5 +16.4
Projected Record 22.0 - 9.0 12.0 - 6.0




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Sun Belt Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 1st
2nd 100.0 100.0 2nd
3rd 3rd
4th 4th
5th 5th
6th 6th
7th 7th
8th 8th
9th 9th
10th 10th
11th 11th
12th 12th
Total 100.0 Total



Sun Belt Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4
13-5
12-6 0.0%
11-7
10-8
9-9
Total



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4
13-5
12-6 100.0% 100.0
11-7
10-8
9-9
8-10
7-11
6-12
5-13
4-14
3-15
2-16
1-17
0-18
Total 100% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0 100.0 0.0%